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Bloody January: Shutdowns Kill Fleet Sales, Hyundai's Assurance Program Works

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DETROIT - You've heard about the Hyundai Assurance Program, the one that guarantees the South Korean company will buy back your new car if you lose your income? It works. Hyundai Motor America announced Tuesday a 14-percent increase in sales compared with January 2008. Hyundai sold 24,512 cars and trucks. The entire market had its worst January, meanwhile, since 1963, according to General Motors' chief analyst Mike DiGiovanni. GM reported a drop of 49 percent. Ford-Lincoln-Mercury sales fell off 39 percent. Chrysler LLC was off 55 percent.



Automakers sold about 668,000 cars and trucks in the U.S. in January, compared with about 790,000 in China, according to DiGiovanni. The Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (SAAR) was an estimated 9.5 million last month, or 9.8 million counting medium- and heavy-duty trucks.

Each of the Detroit Three pointed to huge drops in fleet sales. Unlike retail sales, fleets buy cars and trucks in a just-in-time, special-order fashion. With all factories essentially shuttered from mid-December to January, GM's fleet sales fell 80 percent (retail was off 38 percent), Ford lost 65 percent (retail off 27 percent) and Chrysler lost 81 percent (-35 percent, retail). Toyota Motor Sales USA lost 34.4 percent, American Honda fell 30.7 percent and Nissan North America fell 29.7 percent. None of the imports broke out fleet sales changes.

GM, Ford and Chrysler have been talking about cutting unprofitable fleet sales for more than a year, but the lack of production accelerated the drop far past the rate automakers want. With business and leisure travel plunging, rental car agencies are holding on to cars and trucks much longer. Chrysler's Jim Press said the drop in fleet was good news, but admitted that the company seeks a fleet percentage back up into the 20s. So, to the details ...

GM: 129,227 units, off 49 percent
*Chevrolet Traverse, 5,215 units, but all others on the Lambda platform were down.
*Saturn Astra was up 283.3 percent, to 824 units. Still a pittance for a $20k compact, but with a better dollar-to-euro relationship, GM may be making money on the Belgian-built model.
*Only other gainer was the Pontiac Vibe, all new for '09, up 7.4-percent to 2,512. Toyota doesn't break out Matrix sales from its Corolla number.
*Saab sold 624 units (-54.3 percent), Hummer sold 1,222 (-59.9 percent) and Saturn sold 6,172 (-59.3 percent).

Toyota: 117,287 units, off 34.4 percent (on a daily selling rate basis)
*Toyota listed retail sales only for specific models.
*Camry sold 20,792, off 36.8 percent.
*Prius, 8,121, off 31.4 percent.
*Tundra was at 7,076, off 43.6 percent.

Ford-Lincoln-Mercury: 90,596, off 39 percent
*Lincoln (6,091, off 23.7 percent) outsold Mercury (5,183, off 44.2 percent).
*Ford Taurus sold 1,705, off 59.2 percent.
*Fusion was off just 11.2 percent, at 8,152 units, passing Focus in sales.
*Flex sold 2,459, more than 2,700 short of the Chevy Traverse.
*F-Series was at 25,237, off 38.6 percent, but ahead of Camry.
*Lincoln sold 1,535 of its new MKSes and 1,561 MKZes (the latter off 42.4 percent).
*No gainers at Ford.
*Volvo brand sold 2,910, off 63.8 percent, amidst rumors that Renault may buy it.
*Bestselling Volvo is the XC90, at 573 units, off 70.1 percent.

Honda: 71,031, off 30.7 percent
*Fit was up 1.8 percent, to 4,745.
*Acura TSX was up 11.6 percent, to 2,406.
*Everything else was down. Accord, at 16,581, was off 33.5 percent.

Chrysler: 62,157, off 55 percent
*Dodge Challenger (2,757 units) outsold Avenger (2,171, down 70 percent) and Chrysler Sebring (1,943, down 79 percent).
*Dodge Ram fell 35 percent, to 12,843. Chrysler says most were the '09 model.
*Chrysler 300 was off 71 percent, to 2,250, while Dodge Charger was off 49 percent, to 4,028. Two words: cop cars.
*Bright spot alert! Jeep Wrangler was up 4 percent, to 6,362.
*Dodge Viper was up 74 percent, to 127 units. Still, Press says Chrysler is fielding three proposals for the sale of the model.


Nissan: 53,884, off 29.7 percent
*Sold 1,280 370Zs, up 47 percent over the old model.
*Rogue was up 6.8 percent, to 5,802.
*Infiniti was down 20.9 percent, to 7,115. EX and FX, both new models, saw big increases.

OTHERS:

*Hyundai's 14-percent increase, to 24,512, included rising sales for Accent, Sonata, Santa Fe and Veracruz. It sold 1,056 of its new RWD Genesis sedan.
*Mazda, at 15,420, was down 27.3 percent. The 3 was up 16.3 percent, to 7,649, but even the new 6 dropped, 60.1 percent, to 2,529.
*BMW Group was off 15.5 percent, to 12,232. Mini posted record sales of 54k units last year, but was down 15.4 percent, to 2,082 versus January '08.
*Subaru posted an 8-percent increase, to 12,194 units. That's all due to Motor Trend's 2009 Sport/Utility of the Year, the Forester, which was up 115 percent, to 5,162. All other models decreased.

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Beaters: There Ought to be Rules

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I drive by this forlorn 911 SC almost every day, either on my way to, or from, One Motor Trend Tower. It makes me want to cry. Or hurl. Sometimes both.

No matter which side of the automotive fence you sit on, a late '70s 911 SC sunroof coupe is a pretty nice piece. I used to have one just like it, same colors even, and currently park its newer sibling, an '89 Carrera 3.2 coupe, in my garage.



As you can see, this one's silver paint shines like chalk. It's been clocked in the left headlight. Both foglights are gone, and the front license plate hangs by a thread. The driver's door was smashed in, but it's had some gypsy body work and a little rattle-can primer added. The tires are low, the wheels are filthy, and there's enough trash inside to fill a dumpster. The windows were last washed about the time W was elected. Oil changes? I don't want to know...

There's nothing wrong with beaters. They have there own place in the transportation society. Some have charm, even. But something inside me says nobody should be allowed to make one out of a really cool/interesting/even-semi-valuable car. I know, this is America, the Land of Automotive Freedom, and people should be allowed to thrash whatever they like. But there are enough Dodge Diplomats, Toyota Coronas, and old police cars out there to pick on. A Porsche, old Vette, or '56 Ford F100? There ought to be a law, I tell ya...

Here are a few Beater Candidate qualifiers I think are reasonable:

1) Value of less than $1000

2) The cost to repair the rust or reupholster the interior must exceed the value of the car

3) It be worth more if you parted it out

4) 150,000-mile minimum odo reading; 200K is better still

5) Six cans of primer would improve its appearance

6) No really attractive woman (or anyone wearing clean clothes) would ride in it

7) Any sane person would call one of those tow-away-for-tax-credits outfits before they'd try to sell it to someone

8) You wouldn't even think of paying for Comprehensive or Collision insurance

9) Car washes are free, courtesy of the rain

10) Fine. Steal it. Who cares.

If a car passes passes all or most of these litmus tests, it's got The Stuff to be a beater. So go ahead. Wail away. But leave the good stuff for car fools on a budget.

Tell us your best Beater Car story.

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Nissan GT-R: Launch Control is Dead, Long Live VDC

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In a letter sent to its dealers earlier this week, Nissan USA outlined changes it is making to the 2010 Nissan GT-R and the remaining stock of 2009 models. These changes affect all GT-Rs sold globally and are designed to specifically address the controversy surrounding Godzilla's much-hyped transmission issues.



What are these changes? We spoke to our sources inside Nissan for clarification and here is what they told us: essentially, "launch control" is no more -- though you'd never hear Nissan put it that way. From the beginning, it has never formally recognized the term, preferring instead the more inscrutable "VDC Off" terminology.

Nissan GT-R side view

Nissan claims to have performed a software update to the transmission control module (TCM) with the goal of removing any real or perceived performance advantage gained by turning Vehicle Dynamics Control (VDC) off. In its place, Nissan says the update will allow the GT-R to shift smoother and accelerate faster in "normal" (VDC on) mode. As far as Nissan USA is concerned, the changes are aimed at improving the car's overall performance and boosting customer satisfaction.

What does this really mean? Let's recap. Recall that with VDC on, we found that powerbraking (applying the throttle and brake simultaneously) the GT-R would send its 480 horsepower engine spinning to roughly 1800-2000 rpm. Releasing the brake would send the GT-R accelerating at near supercar speeds -- as quick as 3.9 seconds to 60 mph as we found out last year.

Engaging "launch control," that is, turning VDC off, setting transmission and suspension switches to "R" mode, and powerbraking the GT-R would send the engine to about 4500 rpm and result in much quicker acceleration. We recorded a blistering 3.2 seconds to 60 and 11.6 sec @ 120.0 mph in the quarter mile.

Unfortunately for Nissan, plenty of controversy -- both real and imagined -- has cropped up regarding the failure of several GT-R transmissions when launching the car with VDC turned off. After much speculation as to how Nissan would respond, now we have the answer.

Nissan GT-R front three quarter view

With the software changes, you can expect to find the maximum performance of the updated GT-R approaching what the first batch of cars could do with its VDC off. Nissan claims the retuned GT-R will be quicker than the old version in day-to-day situations such as flat-footing it from a stoplight.

While you can still turn VDC off (it's recommended only for situations when the vehicle is stuck), the idea is that there will be no real advantage to doing so. Since Nissan no longer suggests any performance gains with VDC off, why would you do so and risk damaging a very pricey transmission?

So what kind of numbers will an updated GT-R turn in now that the fix is in? You'll know when we get our hands on one, but an educated guess would be somewhere around 3.5 sec. or so to 60, and about 12 seconds in the quarter, with powerbraking launches somewhere in the 3500 rpm range.

If you're already in possession of a GT-R or are on the list to get a new one, here is what the changes mean to you:

For existing owners, expect to see a letter in your mailbox as part of customer service initiative. It will probably invite you to return to your Nissan dealer for the TCM software update and provide details as to what is involved (and if you get one send us a copy). Nissan tells us the service is free of charge and should be relatively quick.

Nissan GT-R steering wheel

If you're a prospective GT-R buyer, your 2009 or 2010 GT-R will ship with the update so no action will be required on your end.

Whether you're the former or the latter, know that there have been no changes to the language or spirit of the GT-R's warranty. Nissan still guarantees the performance of the GT-R provided certain guidelines are met.

More information on this story as it breaks. Stay tuned for our first full test of the newly updated GT-R - with VDC on and off.

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2009 Motor Trend Truck of the Year Contender: Ford F-150

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Ford claims it sells more of its F-150 half-ton pickups to work and commercial customers than its competitors do, and Ford predicts this segment will grow to 45 percent of F-150 sales.



2009 Ford F-150 Lariat towing

Toward that end, the new 2009 Ford F-150's fully boxed chassis is further fortified to provide best-in-class rigidity, payload capacity (up to 3030 pounds), and tow ratings (up to 11,300 pounds). As such, the new F-150 is well positioned to capture contractors migrating down-market out of Super Dutys to save money and gas (did we mention that a new six-speed automatic, a lighter, more aerodynamic cab, and other tweaks boost fuel economy by 12 percent with the 5.4-liter?).

Ford claims payload and towing numbers like that simply can't be had with a coil sprung rear axle, so it stuck with leafs but made them longer to smooth the ride and wider with new mounting hardware to improve lateral rigidity and roll control. Lateral grip of 0.70 g for both Fords bested all but the feathery base Dodge and Suzuki, and our rear-drive SXT scored the best stop at 133 feet from 60 mph (the three-ton Lariat needed 144 feet).

2009 Ford F-150 Lariat front view

Status-conscious contractors will have eight F-150 models from which to choose (including the forthcoming SVT Raptor), which Detroit editor Todd Lassa reckons is "about four too many," adding, "If this Lariat is the third truck from the top, how much of a boudoir must the King Ranch and Platinum interiors be?" Judges praised the low noise levels and interior materials quality, though some found the design cartoonishly macho.

Still, handy features like the Tailgate Step, Box Side Step, a stowable bed-extender, and rear seats that fold up with one hand to reveal a broad, flat load floor help tally a strong superiority score. On the negative side of the ledger is Ford's aging all-V-8-engine lineup, which is composed of two- and three-valve 4.6-liters and a three-valve 5.4. SVT will bring a bigger 6.2 in the Raptor, and an EcoBoost V-6 is likely to join the lineup for folks who don't tow, but the diesel is on hold.

2009 Ford F-150 Lariat side view

The base V-8 handily outruns and outhauls the V-6 Dodge, but sounds and feels strained doing so. Gearing that's a third shorter than the Dodge's kept our 5.4L 4x4 within 0.6 second of the big Dodge, but costs it at the pump, where both trucks averaged just 13.2 mpg over 500 miles of mixed driving. The new six-speed automatic features excellent tow/haul-mode programming (ordering downshifts with a tap of the brakes on downhill grades, holding lower gears, etc.), but in normal mode, it's lethargic to kick down, and there's no way to manually select the higher gears.

Both Fords tackled our off-road sand-loop with aplomb. The 4x4 transfer case engaged high-and low-range settings quickly and easily, with the message center confirming the shift was in process. We're disappointed, however, that there's no on-pavement AWD option as offered by Dodge and General Motors.

2009 Ford F-150 Lariat engine

Will the 2009 Ford F-150 be crowned the 2009 Motor Trend Truck of the Year? Find out Tues, December 16.

Photogragy by Brian Vance, Julia LaPalme, and William Walker

2009 Ford F-150 Lariat interior
2009 Ford F-150 SXT front three quarter view
2009 Ford F-150 SXT front view in motion
2009 Ford F-150 SXT side view
2009 Ford F-150 SXT front view
2009 Ford F-150 SXT engine
2009 Ford F-150 SXT interior
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Pony Tail: Inside the Coolest Turn Signals Since the '60s

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Hey Washington Beltway bellyachers, check out this Detroit-Three innovation: Signal to turn in a new 2010 Mustang, and the tail lamps illuminate sequentially to point the way the car is turning, one-two-three from the inside to the outside. Oh, I know most of you are plenty old enough to remember the Thelma-n-Louise T-bird that launched this idea in 1965, and the '67 Mercury Cougar, '68 Shelby Mustang, and '69 Imperial that followed. But unlike those 1965-1968 versions, these involve no motors, rotating contacts, or moving parts to wear out. And get this, greenies: These new ones save fuel.



2010 Mustang sequential tail lamp

Okay, the sequential blinking doesn't save anything noticeable, but the LED lamps that are flashing (and serving tail-lamp and brake-light duty) consume 87 percent less power than the incandescent bulbs they replace. This helps save 10.5 gallons of gas per year in the typical Mustang, according to Osram, the folks who produce the system and that pioneered myriad other lighting innovations on earlier Ford/Lincoln-Mercury products. More good news: Unlike most LED signal and tail lamps you're aware of, which position an array of LEDs behind some sort of lens in a custom fitting for a particular car, the Mustang's LEDs work very much like a traditional incandescent bulb.

Osram Joule Tail lamp

They're bulb-shaped, so they fit into a traditional lens and reflector housing with a push-and-turn base, drastically reducing the replacement cost of the tail lamp after crash damage (costing about half as much). They typically last the life of a vehicle and are unaffected by shock and vibration, so they're ideal in extreme applications (Pratt & Miller has used Joule lamps for three seasons of Corvette endurance racing without a failure).These so-called Joule lamps incorporate the LEDs, the thermal management (that ring sitting just behind the reflector housing), and the control circuitry (which resides in the connector).

Osram Joule Tail lamps--other applications

Joule lamps cannot replace incandescent bulbs in existing applications (at least not yet), but this plug-n-play approach allows manufacturers to work LEDs into their product lines for vastly less investment cost than all those custom applications you see out there, which is why Chevy can afford to have an LED fitment on only the LTZ model of the Malibu. Joule lamps are also in use on the Ford Taurus X and the Mercury Mountaineer and Sable.

Osram MyColor interior lighting--green

The Mustang's other Osram lighting flourish is found inside, where the MyColor dash gauge backlight color is now keyed with the rest of the interior ambient lighting, so that when you dial up ghoulish green or whorehouse red on the dash, the footwells, cupholders, etc. all glow with the flow.

Osram MyColor interior lighting--red
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President-elect Obama, Your New Chrysler 300 is, er, Fiberglass...for Now

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DETROIT - Will Chrysler LLC be around long enough to build the 2011 Dodge Charger and Chrysler 300? (Editor's note, a present Chrysler 300 is pictured) Will Chrysler factories reopen after its extended holiday shutdown, which begins Friday? I don't know. Chrysler says it could be out of cash in weeks. I can't believe I'm saying this, but the future of those cars now seems to be in George W. Bush's hands, with less than four weeks left in his presidency. He's rumored to be considering a "controlled" bankruptcy? Detroit has been hanging by a thread for this?



As you may have read elsewhere, some of us in the moto-journo biz got an early preview of the next LX sedans Wednesday in Auburn Hills. Online car magazines not invited to the event reported on what we saw, based on reports by other journalists who were invited. Those leaky journalists told Jalopnik the future cars and trucks looked like "lipstick on a foam pig" and "smoke and mirrors."

Well, of course. They were full-scale fiberglass models. They're not scheduled for production until 2010, probably the third or fourth quarter if things get better, so nothing's been retooled to stamp actual '11 model sheetmetal. I found their designs to be impressive, and several colleagues agreed. The second-generation 300 and Charger could be to the first-generation cars what the current Cadillac CTS is to its predecessor. And by the way, General Motors showed journalists the new CTS two or three years early - the same sort of "smoke and mirrors."

The difference this time is that everything we saw in the last couple of days could go up in smoke. And don't misunderstand this: I can't vouch for the quality of any future Chrysler product, or say anything good or bad about the way these cars and trucks ride, handle, perform, hold themselves together. That's what first drives and comparisons are for. I can only tell you that Chrysler has quickly exorcized retired design chief Trevor Creed. Yes, he's been gone only a couple of months, but with Tom Gale hired on as a consultant when Cerberus took over, I doubt Creed had much authority while these models were being designed. There's not a hint of Dodge Avenger/Chrysler Sebring styling here. And virtually no hint of the concepts Creed foisted on us in the last few years.

I doubt these new cars and trucks would impress Nancy Pelosi or Harry Reid. They'd rather see electric cars or bio-diesels running on mulch. But Chrysler ought to show the new 300, at least, to President-elect Obama, who owned an '05 300C. Attractive, desirable product could make a bigger impression than any "turnaround plan" or union concessions.

Why did Chrysler show us these 2011 models? To prove it's not quite dead, and to give us a reason to root for its survival through 2010. If its future stuff looked like more Avenger/Sebring, I'd be saying as much right now.

Why did Chrysler refuse to invite Jalopnik and Autoblog? Automakers worry that automotive websites are quick to spread leaks, even when they're not necessarily the first entity responsible for such leaks.

That kind of thinking is obsolete. Most of us at the Chrysler preview, some in print journalism and some not, also post online news and columns like this one.

While they would like to be considered part of the New Media, Jalopnik, Autoblog and others have become as entrenched in the moto-journo establishment as motortrend.com. I'd find it more interesting to hear what they think of the '11 300/Charger firsthand than read about the impressions leaked to them by invited journalists eager to pander to Jalopnik's irreverent image.

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Speedway Motel Closes - Say it Ain't So, Tony

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The Indianapolis Motor Speedway has evolved a lot over its near 100-year history. Other than its 2.5-mile oval layout and a few bricks, it's not the same old place -- it's way, way better, in every possible way. One of the Vaticans of Motorsport, if you'll allow me the metaphor. But a press release rolled out of the Speedway office yesterday that I'm not sure I can stomach. The Brickyard Crossing Hotel and Resort -- best known for decades as the Speedway Motel -- is being closed immediately.

What? They filmed Paul Newman's "Winning" there. Who knows how many 500 race winners have stayed there (prior to the days of million-dollar motorhomes)? How many great fights have taken place there? Parties? Banquets? Trysts? Oh, the stories those rooms could tell. I've never stayed there, but have visited, been to breakfasts, and partied there. I always enjoyed the sign out front welcoming fans before the race, and congratulating the winner after.

I know, I know. The place is old, small, and in every other way a relic of 1960s low-rise motel design. They'll tear it down, building something much larger, nicer. But with that, another hunk of motorsport history will disappear. IMS management plans to leave the restaurant, bar, banquet rooms, and pro shop alone and in operation for now, but will they fit into the plans for a new place (that is, assuming it's a hotel)? TBD.

The full press release is reprinted below. I get it. It just hurts, that's all.

image courtesy of MotelPostcards.com

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BRICKYARD CROSSING INN CLOSES IMMEDIATELY;

NEW HOTEL POSSIBLE IN FUTURE

Restaurant, pub, conference space, Golf Shop to remain open

INDIANAPOLIS, Monday, Dec. 15, 2008 – Brickyard Crossing Inn will close immediately and be razed in a few months, said Joie Chitwood, president and chief operating officer of the Indianapolis Motor Speedway Corporation.

The motel was built in 1963 on the eastern edge of the IMS grounds. It has 96 rooms.

“To bring the motel up to the standards and quality of what guests expect at the Speedway would require significant capital expenditures,” Chitwood said. “After reviewing the alternatives, we have decided to discontinue its operation.”

Plans are being made for the demolition of the motel buildings. Use of the space after the removal of the motel has not been determined, Chitwood said.

“IMS has been looking at alternatives to the future of the motel property for several years, including constructing a new hotel,” Chitwood said. “We continue to evaluate how a new hotel operation on Speedway property might fit in with the planned redevelopment of the Town of Speedway.

“To date, we have reviewed proposals from several groups and have met with some of these firms. We’re farther along than we’ve ever been in the process to build a new hotel at IMS.”

The closure of the motel will not affect the main building of Brickyard Crossing, which is home to a public restaurant, the Flag Room pub, conference space and the Brickyard Crossing Golf Course Golf Shop. All will continue operation. Closure of the motel involves the termination of 15 permanent employees.

The opening of the motel 45 years ago filled a void in lodging on the near-west side of Indianapolis and before the growth associated with Interstate 465.

Like the Speedway, the Brickyard Crossing Inn has famous history. Besides being the home for several Indianapolis 500 drivers and owners during the month of May, scenes from Paul Newman’s movie “Winning” were filmed in rooms of the motel. And NASCAR legend Jeff Gordon celebrated his victory in the inaugural Allstate 400 at the Brickyard in 1994 by eating a pizza in his room at the motel.

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Prius or Pickups?

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Here's one for all those dimbulbs in Washington who think running a car company ain't that hard: If you were in charge of Toyota, would you have halted work this week on the $1.3 billion factory near Tupelo, Mississippi, that was intended to build the new Prius hybrid? After all, the Prius is precisely the sort of fuel-efficient car you've said the Detroit automakers should be building, at labor costs you've said they should be paying.



Except there's one small problem: Sales of the Prius last month were about half the level they were in November 2007. Meantime, helped by deep discounts -- up to $6000 on some 2008 models -- Ford F-150 sales for November were down just 18.5% compared with November last year, while Chevy Silverado sales were down just 22%.

Obviously, the meltdown in the economy accounts for some of the fall-off in Prius sales: Toyota's total volume in November was down 32% as fearful, credit-crunched customers stayed away from dealerships in droves. But the fact that gas in the U.S. now costs, on average, less than half as much as it did in the summer, is undoubtedly having an effect. The 8660 Priuses Toyota sold last month compares starkly with the 21,000-plus it sold in April as gas raced toward the $4/gallon mark. It also compares starkly with the 37,911 F-150s and 29,534 Silverados shifted by Ford and Chevy dealers in November despite frozen credit and swirling rumors of bankruptcy.

The Prius problem highlights the major challenge facing any bailout of the Detroit Three. If Toyota, allegedly the smartest guys in the room when it comes to the auto biz, can't figure out what American consumers want one month to the next (as of a few months back the Tupelo plant was actually slated to build Highlander SUVs) how on earth is Capitol Hill, or any so-called "car czar" for that matter, going to be able to figure out which direction Detroit's salvation lies? Building Prius clones? Or pickups? Which will give us the best chance of getting our loan money paid back?

There's no question gas prices will rise again once the global economy climbs out of the crater and demand for oil picks up. But as of right now, no one has any idea when that might happen and how fast gas prices might rise. Goldman Sachs recently forecast oil would slump to $30 a barrel, but these are the same geniuses who predicted it would hit $200 a barrel earlier this year. So it's anyone's guess, although futures for deliveries beyond 2013 are trading above $75 a barrel.

Against that background, full-size pickup trucks look like they could still be profitable business for a leaner, lower cost, slimmed-down Detroit for a few years yet.

As has been widely reported, it now looks likely President Bush will allow some of the TARP bank bailout funds to be used to throw GM and Chrysler a financial lifeline. The specter of a massive jump in unemployment -- and what that would do to an economy already reeling from a collapse in consumer confidence -- seems to have gotten the attention of even the hardliners in the White House. "If the auto industry goes belly up now," Vice President Dick Cheney told talk show host Rush Limbaugh, "there's a deep concern that would be a major shock to the system." D'oh...

Of course, any money doled out by the White House this week won't solve the problem. All it will do it buy time -- little more than three months -- to leave the freshly minted Obama administration between a rock (letting the Detroit Three fail and dealing with the grim social and economic cost of 12% unemployment within two years) and a hard place (pouring what has been estimated at $75 to $125 billion into creating a retooled Detroit that will almost certainly be composed of fewer companies making fewer vehicles).

President-elect Obama has said he won't let the American auto industry fail. But will he see pickup trucks as part of the solution? Or part of the problem that got Detroit in this mess in the first place.

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